<!--BRIEF_HERO:{"bias_label":"Bearish","long_pct":39.1,"long_opens":9,"short_opens":14,"net_long":-4,"net_short":5,"key_thesis":"ASML earnings are the early signal for AI's next move; markets are diverging.","trade_ideas":[{"symbol":"SAMSUNG","side":"short","rationale":"Second day short, built on recent strength."},{"symbol":"BBX","side":"long","rationale":"Net positive on open longs, holding ground."},{"symbol":"MSTR","side":"short","rationale":"Third day short, momentum building."}],"top_symbols":[{"ticker":"SAMSUNG","long":1,"short":2},{"ticker":"BBX","long":4,"short":0},{"ticker":"MSTR","long":0,"short":3},{"ticker":"RKLB","long":2,"short":0},{"ticker":"NOK","long":0,"short":2}],"last_updated_utc":"2026-07-13T13:30:09.799Z","date_label":"July 13, 2026","asset_class":"stocks","regime":"divergence","verdict":"Play the strong side today; don't fight the divergence, accept the direction ASML sets.","confidence":"moderate","horizon":"Session · US open→close","do_list":["Lean with ASML's reaction.","Back the winning side of divergence.","Use weak positions as hedges only."],"avoid_list":["Forcing symmetry with crypto.","Fighting the strong tape side.","Taking size in the weaker area."],"risks":["ASML earnings miss/beat wildly.","FOMC minutes release hits sentiment.","Strait of Hormuz headlines escalate."],"cross_market_note":"Stocks are diverging while Crypto holds a bullish stance, led by [BTC](/coins/btc).","focus_tickers":[{"ticker":"META","side":"long","spark":[41.1,156.8],"why":"Closed winner, still a key big tech bellwether."},{"ticker":"SAMSUNG","side":"short","spark":[-29.6,-61.2,-121.6,-100.8,-117.2,-119.5,-122.9,-76.2],"why":"Closed winner, another key semiconductor indicator."},{"ticker":"MRVL","side":"long","spark":[27.2,66.8],"why":"Closed winner, shows semis strength continues."},{"ticker":"USAR","side":"short","spark":[-35.1,-48.1,-23.3],"why":"Short leader, driving short side gains today."},{"ticker":"MSTR","side":"short","spark":[70.7,102,137.6],"why":"Short leader, riding crypto downside pressure."}],"pulse_7d":[{"date":"2026-07-07","long":42,"short":21},{"date":"2026-07-08","long":44,"short":10},{"date":"2026-07-09","long":66,"short":4},{"date":"2026-07-10","long":40,"short":8},{"date":"2026-07-11","long":27,"short":2},{"date":"2026-07-12","long":8,"short":10},{"date":"2026-07-13","long":4,"short":10}],"compare":{"other_class":"crypto","other_class_label":"Crypto","other_bias_label":"Bullish","other_long_pct":71.4,"other_long_opens":5,"other_short_opens":2,"other_brief_slug":"market-brief-crypto-july-13-2026"}}-->
## AI hype takes a breather, watch ASML for the tape.
Tech earnings kick off, but AI's dominance is tested. Divergence is the regime, so focus wins.
## Top closed stocks trades (24h)
| Asset | Side | PnL | ROI on $1400 |
|---|---|---|---|
| [META](/stocks/meta) | LONG | +$115.70 | +8.26% |
| [SAMSUNG](/stocks/samsung) | SHORT | +$46.70 | +3.34% |
| [MRVL](/stocks/mrvl) | LONG | +$39.60 | +2.83% |
## Open stocks positions leading right now
| Asset | Side | Unrealized PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| [USAR](/stocks/usar) | SHORT | +$23.32 | +2.41% |
| [AMD](/stocks/amd) | SHORT | +$8.80 | +1.82% |
| [MSTR](/stocks/mstr) | SHORT | +$5.45 | +0.55% |
| [BBX](/stocks/bbx) | LONG | +$3.44 | +0.23% |
| [TSLA](/stocks/tsla) | SHORT | +$1.20 | +0.59% |
ASML's earnings report is today's main event. It's Europe's biggest chip equipment supplier, and its guidance sets the tone for the whole sector, especially AI chipmakers like [TSM](/stocks/tsm).
Meanwhile, the geopolitical noise around the Strait of Hormuz is pushing oil prices higher, a classic divergence signal. Airlines are cautiously resuming some flights, but disruption lingers. Banks are also on deck, with Citigroup being a key one to watch for trends. CACI's drone deal win is a bright spot in defense.
As markets diverge, ASML's report will likely dictate the session's direction. Stick to your winners like USAR and MSTR, and be ready to move with the semiconductor tape. Don't fight the Tape; find your edge with [explore Radiant algorithms](/algorithms).
## Sources tracked
Headlines from the last 24h were aggregated and analysed from MarketWatch, CNBC, Investing.com and WSJ. We summarise market-moving facts in our own words; we do not republish third-party content.
- **MarketWatch** — ASML is kicking off tech earnings. Here’s what to expect from Europe’s biggest semiconductor supplier.
- **MarketWatch** — The stock-market rally now hinges more on AI than oil
- **Investing.com** — BTIG Reveals Its Top Healthcare Stocks for the Second Half of 2026
- **Investing.com** — FTSE 100 today: Stocks slip as Trump eyes Strait of Hormuz control, oil jumps
- **Investing.com** — Volkswagen CEO says 50,000 more job cuts may be needed to close competitive gap
- **MarketWatch** — Why Citigroup is the one to watch when banks report earnings this week
- **Investing.com** — CACI stock rises after winning southern border drone defense deal
- **Investing.com** — Williams stock rises after $5.34B Blackstone joint venture deal
- **Investing.com** — Bank of America hires nine senior investment bankers to target US middle market
- **Investing.com** — Iraq’s prime minister seeks big energy investments on US trip